Известия высших учебных заведений России: Радиоэлектроника, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 74-79 (2017)

roc-анализ, bone marrow transplantation, complications prediction, logistic regression, roc-analysis, sensitivity, specificity, true forecast, false forecast, odds ratio, risk ratio, confidence interval, program module, Electronics, TK7800-8360

The paper presents the program module that estimates the probability of complications after the bone marrow transplantation. The shown approach is based on a logistic regression. The medical database containing the records of 155 patients aged from 5 to 21 is used. The program module contains a detailed graphical representation of the results in the form of a ROC curve, the calculated values of true and false predictions as well as likelihood ratio of the obtained values. The areas of reliable and unreliable predictions as well as the area where predictions are impossible are highlighted on the chart.